TOYOTA ACCELERATOR RECALL…WHAT ARE THE ODDS?

Written by gary on January 23rd, 2010
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moving forwardToyota  is doing the right thing as it recalls 2.3 million Toyota-brand cars and trucks dating back to 2005  citing problems with certain supplier accelerator pedal mechanisms. Toyota is working quickly to prepare the correction remedy and they will solve this in a timely manner.

Recently there have been 60 plus new cases of Toyota vehicles accelerating on their own reported by safety experts since last year when Toyota announced it had solved the problem will a massive recall of suspect floor mats and proposed changes to gas pedals. The 60 new cases is added to approximately 2000 suspect cases that go back to 2006.

A recall of any magnitude is justified if it will save one person’s life. A recall became of utmost responsibility for Toyota though with a tragic and dramatic incident that occurred on the day after Christmas 2009. On that day not one but four people died in Southlake, Texas, a suburb of Dallas, when a 2008 Toyota sped off the road, through a fence and landed upside down in a pond. The car’s floor mats were found in the trunk of the car, where owners had been advised to put them as part of the recall late last year.

There definitely is a problem on some scale with certain accelerator throttle mechanisms used by Toyota in some of their vehicles. This problem is an elusive one though as there is no engine error code for a problem like this. The vehicle computer doesn’t know the driver’s intention. If you release the pedal and it stays down, the computer thinks you still have the pedal pushed down. 

Toyota will fix this problem…But is the media characterizing this issue accurately? Certainly it is the responsibility of media outlets to report and announce issues that are of importance to the public such as the Toyota recall. But the media over-steps it’s boundries when it blows a story such as Toyota’s out of proportion to an extent as to cause widespread fear, panic and despair with owners, so much so that they are scared to drive their vehicle.

Lets put this into perspective. There are approximately 27 million Toyota vehicles on the road in the United States. there have been a liitle over 2000 reported incidents of possible Toyota accelerator problems. That means at this time the odds of experiencing a Toyota accelerator problem are 13,500 to 1.

Here are  a few other odd for comparison:

  • Odds of death in a transportation accident this year 77 to 1
  • Odds of fatality slipping in bath or shower  2,232 to 1
  • Odds of being considered possessed by satan 7000 to 1

Drive your vehicle and remain calm. Take your vehicle in for the recall when you are contacted. Toyota will spare no expense to fix this problem. In the meantime, be familiar with procedures to handle an accelerator problem,

  • Shift into neutral
  • Firmly apply brakes
  • When you come to a stop, cut engine off

Here is a list of additional occurrances and their odds…

Odds that a person between the age of 18 and 29 does NOT read a newspaper regularly: 3 to 1
Odds that an American adult does not want to live to age 120 under any circumstances: 3 to 2
Odds of injury from fireworks: 19,556 to 1
Odds of injury from shaving: 6,585 to 1
Odds of injury from using a chain saw: 4,464 to 1
Odds of injury from mowing the lawn: 3,623 to 1
Odds of fatally slipping in bath or shower: 2,232 to 1
Odds of drowning in a bathtub: 685,000 to 1
Odds of being killed on a 5-mile bus trip: 500,000,000 to 1
Odds of being killed sometime in the next year in any sort of transportation accident: 77 to 1
Odds of being killed in any sort of non-transportation accident: 69 to 1
Odds of being struck by lightning: 576,000 to 1
Odds of being killed by lightning: 2,320,000 to 1
Odds of being murdered: 18,000 to 1
Odds of getting away with murder: 2 to 1
Odds of being the victim of serious crime in your lifetime: 20 to 1
Odds of dating a supermodel: 88,000 to 1
Odds of being considered possessed by Satan: 7,000 to 1
Odds that a first marriage will survive without separation or divorce for 15 years: 1.3 to 1
Odds that a celebrity marriage will last a lifetime: 3 to 1
Odds of getting hemorrhoids: 25 to 1
Odds of being born a twin in North America: 90 to 1
Odds of being on plane with a drunken pilot: 117 to 1
Odds of being audited by the IRS: 175 to 1
Odds of having your identity stolen: 200 to 1
Odds of dating a millionaire: 215 to 1
Odds of dating a supermodel: 88,000 to 1
Odds of writing a New York Times best seller: 220 to 1
Odds of finding out your child is a genius: 250 to 1
Odds of catching a ball at a major league ballgame: 563 to 1
Odds of becoming a pro athlete: 22,000 to 1
Odds of finding a four-leaf clover on first try: 10,000 to 1
Odds of a person in the military winning the Medal of Honor: 11,000 to 1
Odds of winning an Academy Award: 11,500 to 1
Odds of striking it rich on Antiques Roadshow: 60,000 to 1
Odds of getting a royal flush in poker on first five cards dealt: 649,740 to 1
Odds of spotting a UFO today: 3,000,000 to 1
Odds of becoming president: 10,000,000 to 1
Odds of winning the California lottery: 13,000,000 to 1
Odds of becoming a saint: 20,000,000 to 1
Odds of a meteor landing on your house: 182,138,880,000,000 to 1
Chance of an American home having at least one container of ice cream in the freezer: 9 in 10.
Chance of dying from any kind of injury during the next year: 1 in 1,820
Chance of dying from intentional self-harm: 1 in 9,380
Chance of dying from an assault: 1 in 16,421
Chance of dying from a car accident: 1 in 18,585
Chance of dying from any kind of fall: 1 in 20,666
Chance of dying from accidental drowning: 1 in 79,065
Chance of dying from exposure to smoke, fire, and flames: 1 in 81,524
Chance of dying in an explosion: 1 in 107,787
Chance that Earth will experience a catastrophic collision with an asteroid in the next 100 years: 1 in 5,000
Chance of dying in such a collision: 1 in 20,000
Chance of dying from exposure to forces of nature (heat, cold, lightning, earthquake, flood): 1 in 225,107
Chance of dying in an airplane accident: 1 in 354,319
Chance of dying from choking on food: 1 in 370,035
Chance of dying in a terrorist attack while visiting a foreign country: 1 in 650,000
Chance of dying in a fireworks accident: 1 in 1,000,000
Chance of dying from overexertion, travel or privation: 1 in 1,428,377
Chance of dying from food poisoning: 1 in 3,000,000
Chance of dying from legal execution: 1 in 3,441,325
Chance of dying from contact with hot tap water: 1 in 5,005,564
Chance of dying from parts falling off an airplane: 1 in 10,000,000
Chance of dying from ignition or melting of nightwear: 1 in 30,589,556
Chance of dying from being bitten by a dog: 1 in 700,000
Chance of dying from contact with a venomous animal or plant: 1 in 3,441,325
Chance of dying from being bitten or struck by mammals (other than dogs or humans): 1 in 4,235,477
Chance of dying from a mountain lion attack in California: 1 in 32,000,000
Chance of dying from a shark attack: 1 in 300,000,000
Chance of having a stroke: 1 in 6
Chance of dying from heart disease: 1 in 3
Chance of getting arthritis: 1 in 7
Chance of suffering from asthma or allergy diseases: 1 in 6
Chance of getting the flu this year: 1 in 10
Chance of developing schizophrenia: 1 in 00
Chance of contracting the human version of mad cow disease: 1 in 40,000,000
Chance of dying from SARS in the United States: 1 in 100,000,000
Chance of American man developing cancer in his lifetime: 1 in 2
Chance of an American woman developing cancer in her lifetime: 1 in 3
Chance of getting prostate cancer: 1 in 6
Chance of getting breast cancer: 1 in 9
Chance of getting colon / rectal cancer: 1 in 26
Chance of beating pancreatic or liver cancer: 1 in 9
Chance of beating thyroid or testicular cancer: 9 in 10

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1 Comments so far ↓

  1. Jun
    30
    10:38
    PM
    Thad Hirth

    give me some excellent ideas. thanks man